Dabas vs Csepel: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)FC Dabas Sporttelep, Dabas
The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Dabas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dabas vs Csepel?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Dabas (1,413) and Csepel (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dabas have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Csepel have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Felsőpakony(away) | 3-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(home) | 1-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Csepel UFC(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dabas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Csepel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Csepel 0-0 Dabas | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Dabas 3-0 Csepel | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Dabas score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Csepel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabas | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Csepel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dabas sit 4th in NB III - Southeast (9 points from 4 matches) and Csepel sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dabas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dabas vs Csepel?
- The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Dabas.
- Where and when is Dabas vs Csepel played?
- Dabas vs Csepel is played on October 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at FC Dabas Sporttelep, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.