Vasas II vs BKV Előre: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Vasas II the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for BKV Előre. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasas II vs BKV Előre?
Vasas II starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,527 vs 1,322).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasas II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; BKV Előre have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Újpest II(home) | 3-5 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(away) | 1-5 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(home) | 2-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Újpest II(away) | 0-6 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vasas II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 BKV Előre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | BKV Előre 1-1 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Vasas II 6-2 BKV Előre | NB III - Southeast |
| May 18, 2025 | Vasas II 2-1 BKV Előre | NB III - Southeast |
| Nov 3, 2024 | BKV Előre 0-1 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
| May 12, 2024 | BKV Előre 4-3 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Vasas II 2-1 BKV Előre | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasas II score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BKV Előre score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| BKV Előre | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasas II sit 8th in NB III - Southeast (5 points from 4 matches) and BKV Előre sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vasas II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | BKV Előre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasas II vs BKV Előre?
- The Footlab model makes Vasas II the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for BKV Előre.
- Where and when is Vasas II vs BKV Előre played?
- Vasas II vs BKV Előre is played on October 4, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.