Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Chigwell Construction Stadium, Dagenham, Essex
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tonbridge Angels?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Dagenham & Redbridge (1,850) and Tonbridge Angels (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagenham & Redbridge have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tonbridge Angels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st in National League - South (12 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tonbridge Angels is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Chigwell Construction Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 24, 2026TorquayvsChesham United
- Nov 24, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsBillericay Town
- Nov 24, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsDover
- Nov 24, 2026Slough TownvsFarnborough
- Nov 24, 2026Weston-super-MarevsWalton & Hersham
- Nov 24, 2026Folkestone InvictavsDorking Wanderers
- Nov 24, 2026HorshamvsTruro City