Match

Torquay vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

TorquayChesham United

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Chesham United?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Torquay (1,872) and Chesham United (1,788).

Torquay win56 %
Draw22 %
Chesham United win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Torquay win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chesham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Torquay 2-1 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Oct 18, 2025Chesham United 1-0 TorquayNational League - South
Apr 5, 2025Torquay 1-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Aug 26, 2024Chesham United 2-3 TorquayNational League - South
Dec 19, 2020Chesham United 0-1 TorquayFA Trophy
Dec 15, 2015Chesham United 0-2 TorquayFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chesham United on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Torquay4121345
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Chesham United?
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Torquay vs Chesham United played?
Torquay vs Chesham United is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Torquay and Chesham United

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