Torquay vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,050 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Chesham United?
Torquay starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torquay vs Chesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 11:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chesham United have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Torquay wins, 0 draws, 2 Chesham United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Torquay 2-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Chesham United 1-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Torquay 1-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Chesham United 2-3 Torquay | National League - South |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Chesham United 0-1 Torquay | FA Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2015 | Chesham United 0-2 Torquay | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chesham United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (16 points from 11 matches) and Chesham United sit 19th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Torquay vs Chesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Chesham United played?
- Torquay vs Chesham United is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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