Match

Horsham vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

HorshamTruro City

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Truro City?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Horsham (1,816) and Truro City (1,748).

Horsham win52 %
Draw24 %
Truro City win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horsham1.21.255/157/15
Truro City1.00.674/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
4Truro City3210407

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Truro City?
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Truro City.
Where and when is Horsham vs Truro City played?
Horsham vs Truro City is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Horsham and Truro City

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