Folkestone Invicta vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Dorking Wanderers?
Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folkestone Invicta | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folkestone Invicta sit 12th in National League - South (5 points from 3 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Folkestone Invicta vs Dorking Wanderers is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 23, 2026Chelmsford CityvsMaidstone Utd
- Nov 24, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsTonbridge Angels
- Nov 24, 2026TorquayvsChesham United
- Nov 24, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsBillericay Town
- Nov 24, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsDover
- Nov 24, 2026Slough TownvsFarnborough
- Nov 24, 2026Weston-super-MarevsWalton & Hersham
- Nov 24, 2026HorshamvsTruro City