Dainava vs Kauno Žalgiris II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, Marijampolė
The Footlab model makes Dainava the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Kauno Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dainava vs Kauno Žalgiris II?
Dainava is a heavy favourite: 1,484 Elo points against 1,174 — a 310-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dainava have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kauno Žalgiris II have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFA(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Dainava win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kauno Žalgiris II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-2 Dainava | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-3 Dainava | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Kauno Žalgiris II vs Dainava on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dainava score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kauno Žalgiris II score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dainava | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kauno Žalgiris II | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dainava sit 6th in 1 Lyga (36 points from 20 matches) and Kauno Žalgiris II sit 15th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dainava | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 36 |
| 15 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 34 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dainava vs Kauno Žalgiris II?
- The Footlab model makes Dainava the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Kauno Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is Dainava vs Kauno Žalgiris II played?
- Dainava vs Kauno Žalgiris II is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.