Garliava vs Žalgiris II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas, Garliava
The Footlab AI model makes Žalgiris II the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Garliava. The most likely score is 1-1. If Žalgiris II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Garliava vs Žalgiris II?
Žalgiris II starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,390 vs 1,258).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Garliava vs Žalgiris II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Garliava
4-3-3- 26M. Del Campo
- 18Titas Pranauskas
- AA. Spyčius
- 9A. Pilipavicius
- 6S. Gedziunas
- 25Ignas Ambrazevicius
- 11Lukas Odincovas
- 3Lukas Pilionis
- 4Motiejus Simonaitis
- 33M. Bukharov
- 12Martynas Razanauskas
Žalgiris II
4-3-3- 33N. Klimavičius
- 27V. Berenta
- 42K. LukaševiÄ
- 70M. Valukonis
- 28U. Simonavičius
- 29K. Bicka
- 3D. Aleksa
- 25V. Pavilonis
- 60T. Baksys
- 35G. Mikelaitis
- 95D. Cekavicius
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Garliava have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Žalgiris II have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | BFA(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | BFA(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Garliava win, 1 draw, 3 Žalgiris II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Žalgiris II 2-1 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Žalgiris II 1-1 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Garliava 1-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Žalgiris II 1-0 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 17, 2022 | Garliava 1-3 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Žalgiris II vs Garliava on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Garliava score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Žalgiris II score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garliava | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Žalgiris II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Garliava sit 11th in 1 Lyga (26 points from 26 matches) and Žalgiris II sit 4th (46 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Žalgiris II | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 46 |
| 11 | Garliava | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 26 |
A question about Garliava vs Žalgiris II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Garliava vs Žalgiris II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Žalgiris II the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Garliava.
- Where and when is Garliava vs Žalgiris II played?
- Garliava vs Žalgiris II is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.