Atmosfera vs Jonava: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mažeikių stadionas dirbtinė danga, Mažeikiai
The Footlab AI model makes Jonava the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jonava wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atmosfera vs Jonava?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Atmosfera (1,379) and Jonava (1,294).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atmosfera vs Jonava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atmosfera
4-3-3- 14E. Gritkus
- 19K. Seki
- 17M. Fujiyoshi
- 67M. Vasiliauskas
- 8K. Kitazawa
- 6A. Pilipavicius
- 11D. Gineitis
- 15M. Bawa
- 5D. Petrauskas
- 66M. Stasys
- 1L. Juska
Jonava
4-3-3- 11E. Mickevičius
- 9A. Raginis
- 99M. Ganusauskas
- 44T. Dombrauskis
- 77A. Stulga
- 23A. Rocys
- 12L. Čerkauskas
- 92A. Dubickas
- 21G. Nikonovas
- 14P. Nainys
- 1V. Šivickas
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atmosfera have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Jonava have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atmosfera wins, 1 draw, 3 Jonava wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Jonava 1-1 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Jonava 0-2 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Atmosfera 0-1 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| May 22, 2024 | Jonava 0-2 Atmosfera | Cup |
| May 7, 2022 | Atmosfera 0-3 Jonava | Cup |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Atmosfera 2-5 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jonava score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Jonava | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atmosfera sit 9th in 1 Lyga (31 points from 25 matches) and Jonava sit 10th (27 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atmosfera | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 31 |
| 10 | Jonava | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
A question about Atmosfera vs Jonava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atmosfera vs Jonava?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jonava the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Atmosfera vs Jonava played?
- Atmosfera vs Jonava is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mažeikių stadionas dirbtinė danga, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.