BFA vs Minija: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BFA Maniežas, Vilnius
The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for BFA. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFA vs Minija?
Minija starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,544 vs 1,429).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BFA vs Minija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BFA
4-3-3- 77Z. Jurevicius
- 21R. Kudzin
- 8R. Shvedchenko
- 89I. Paulikas
- 10A. Osipovic
- 53R. Vilkuotis
- 48A. Sidlauskas
- 30T. Sabitu
- 4A. Kezunas
- 5D. Petrauskas
- 76U. Semaska
Minija
4-3-3- 45K. Aderounmu
- 7Julius Kasparavičius
- 21L. Zingertas
- 6M. A. Sidibe
- 14N. Komissarov
- 9D. Nwegbo
- 43B. Diawara
- 3E. Mockus
- 4M. Diawara
- 5E. Kirjanov
- 2V. Gaudiešius
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFA have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Minija have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BFA wins, 2 draws, 1 Minija win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Minija 3-0 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Minija 1-1 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| May 3, 2025 | BFA 1-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | BFA 1-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Minija 0-1 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | BFA 2-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
BFA score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Minija score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFA | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Minija | 2.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFA sit 7th in 1 Lyga (43 points from 26 matches) and Minija sit 1st (67 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 13 | 67 |
| 7 | BFA | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
A question about BFA vs Minija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFA vs Minija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for BFA.
- Where and when is BFA vs Minija played?
- BFA vs Minija is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BFA Maniežas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.