Danubio vs Cerro Largo: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Danubio vs Cerro Largo?
Danubio won 2-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 15′M. PeraltaDanubio
- 27′M. PeraltaDanubio (pen.)
- 42′A. SegoviaCerro Largo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Danubio win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Danubio vs Cerro Largo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Danubio
4-2-3-1- 77B. Tomatis
- 21B. Azambuja
- 8S. Rodríguez
- 10M. Peralta
- 38J. Trasante
- 16I. Rossi
- 6L. Sosa
- 31T. Cavanagh
- 19M. Brasil
- 4M. Rinaldi
- 1M. Goicoechea
Cerro Largo
4-4-2- 9Lucas Piriz
- 10Axel Michele Pandiani
- 37A. Segovia
- 5S. Marcel
- 15A. Assis
- 29B. Lozano
- 20S. Franca
- 28N. Ramos
- 3A. Piegas
- 17A. Hernández
- 12P. González
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Cerro Largo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Rentistas(home) | 1-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Central Espanol(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Danubio wins, 4 draws, 2 Cerro Largo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Cerro Largo 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Cerro Largo 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Danubio 0-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Cerro Largo 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cerro Largo vs Danubio on Mar 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Largo score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Cerro Largo | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 13 matches) and Cerro Largo sit 14th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 15 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Danubio vs Cerro Largo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy