Racing Montevideo vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 89′M. ArezoPenarol
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Penarol win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Racing Montevideo vs Penarol
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Racing Montevideo
4-4-2- 10E. da Silva
- 9E. da Silva
- 39Á. Vázquez
- 37Y. Oyarzo
- 34A. De la Cuesta Airoldi
- 5Juan Bosca
- 17R. Ferreira
- 13Abdulkadir Ceri
- 4G. Cotugno
- 3R. Brazionis
- 12F. Varese
Penarol
3-4-2-1- 19M. Arezo
- 32L. Umpiérrez
- 11C. Jaime
- 7J. Cabrera
- 21J. Trindade
- 5E. Remedi
- 26Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
- 34N. Herrera
- 6L. Ferreira
- 2G. Pezzella
- 29W. Aguerre
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Montevideo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Penarol have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progreso(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-3 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Central Espanol(home) | 2-4 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Racing Montevideo wins, 2 draws, 2 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Penarol 1-2 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Penarol 1-0 Racing Montevideo | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Racing Montevideo 1-4 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Penarol 0-2 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Penarol 0-0 Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Penarol 1-1 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Racing Montevideo on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Montevideo score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 2.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Penarol | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Montevideo sit 6th in Primera División (20 points from 14 matches) and Penarol sit 5th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 20 |
A question about Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy