Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?
Liverpool Montevideo won 3-2 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 38′S. MilanoLiverpool Montevideo
- 48′N. LópezProgreso
- 82′D. ZabalaLiverpool Montevideo
- 88′D. ZabalaLiverpool Montevideo
- 90′G. SilvaProgreso
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Liverpool Montevideo win at 59%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Liverpool Montevideo
3-4-1-2- 19R. Bentancourt
- 7F. Martínez
- 26T. Brizuela
- 34K. Lewis
- 16Lucas Acosta Moreno
- 6S. Milano
- 24R. Haller
- 18A. Cayetano
- 23E. Castillo
- 3S. Strasorier
- 1M. Bernatene
Progreso
4-2-3-1- 8M. Juambeltz
- 7A. Ocampo
- 10N. López
- 16G. Trasante
- 25R. Cristóbal
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 40A. Cougo
- 6M. Saravia
- 15M. Martin
- 24E. Álvarez
- 1R. Bacchia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool Montevideo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Progreso have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Colón(home) | 3-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cerro(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Liverpool Montevideo wins, 1 draw, 2 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Progreso 3-3 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo 3-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Progreso 0-2 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo 2-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Progreso 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Liverpool Montevideo 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo on Mar 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool Montevideo score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st in Primera División (30 points from 13 matches) and Progreso sit 7th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Progreso | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 20 |
A question about Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy