Match

Darlington 1883 vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham

Darlington 1883Chorley

The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Chorley?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Darlington 1883 (1,781) and Chorley (1,780).

Darlington 1883 win41 %
Draw26 %
Chorley win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Darlington 1883
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Harborough Town(away)2-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Chester(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Bedford Town(away)3-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Worksop Town(home)1-2National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Rotherham(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Chorley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Scarborough Athletic(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Marine(away)2-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026South Shields(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chester(home)1-2National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Trafford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Darlington 1883 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chorley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Chorley 1-2 Darlington 1883National League - North
Aug 9, 2025Darlington 1883 2-3 ChorleyNational League - North
Mar 25, 2025Darlington 1883 1-1 ChorleyNational League - North
Oct 22, 2024Chorley 3-0 Darlington 1883National League - North
Mar 29, 2024Darlington 1883 0-3 ChorleyNational League - North
Nov 14, 2023Chorley 8-0 Darlington 1883National League - North

Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Darlington 1883 on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Darlington 18831.12.229/159/15
Chorley0.91.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Darlington 1883 sit 19th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Chorley4202656
19Darlington 18834103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Chorley?
The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chorley.
Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Chorley played?
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Darlington 1883 and Chorley

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