Darlington 1883 vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Darlington 1883 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,135 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Chorley?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Darlington 1883 (1,821) and Chorley (1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Darlington 1883 vs Chorley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Darlington 1883
Not enough data to predict the Darlington 1883 lineup.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Chorley have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Redcar Town(away) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Darlington 1883 win, 1 draw, 4 Chorley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Chorley 5-2 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Chorley 1-2 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Darlington 1883 2-3 Chorley | National League - North |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Darlington 1883 1-1 Chorley | National League - North |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Chorley 3-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Darlington 1883 0-3 Chorley | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Darlington 1883 on Sep 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Chorley | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Darlington 1883 sit 23rd in National League - North (8 points from 12 matches) and Chorley sit 10th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 8 |
A question about Darlington 1883 vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Chorley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Chorley played?
- Darlington 1883 vs Chorley is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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