Match

De Graafschap vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats

Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem

De GraafschapDordrecht

The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Dordrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win De Graafschap vs Dordrecht?

On Elo ratings, De Graafschap has 1,691 points and Dordrecht 1,605.

54%22%24%
De Graafschap winDrawDordrecht win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for De Graafschap vs Dordrecht

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

De Graafschap

4-2-3-1
  1. 9J. Kania
  1. 8D. Warmerdam
  2. 21K. Symons
  3. 10F. de Jong
  4. 7Bjorn van Zijl
  5. 23M. Diemers
  1. 3R. Besselink
  2. 16N. Martens
  3. 2J. Wieckhoff
  4. 15T. Kok
  1. 1T. Wieggers

Dordrecht

4-2-3-1
  1. 77D. Šits
  1. 21M. Vetkal
  2. 11N. Rossi
  3. 6L. Riccio
  4. 8Senne Vugts
  5. 10A. Ouarghi
  1. 4J. Pinas
  2. 3S. Henderikx
  3. 5C. Mpanzu
  4. 22J. van Aken
  1. 28T. Coremans

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dordrecht have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

De Graafschap
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Jong Utrecht(home)2-1Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2026FC Eindhoven(away)2-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 27, 2026Den Bosch(home)1-0Eerste Divisie
Sep 20, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026Emmen(away)2-1Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Emmen(home)0-3Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2026Den Bosch(away)1-1Eerste Divisie
Sep 25, 2026Almere City FC(home)3-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2026FC OSS(away)0-3Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026FC Eindhoven(away)1-2Eerste Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 De Graafschap wins, 3 draws, 1 Dordrecht win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026De Graafschap 2-1 DordrechtEerste Divisie
Sep 26, 2025Dordrecht 1-1 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
May 17, 2025Dordrecht 2-0 De GraafschapEredivisie
May 13, 2025De Graafschap 0-0 DordrechtEredivisie
Jan 31, 2025Dordrecht 1-1 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
Nov 1, 2024De Graafschap 4-1 DordrechtEerste Divisie

Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Dordrecht on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
De Graafschap1.63.0113/1513/15
Dordrecht1.62.319/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

De Graafschap sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and Dordrecht sit 19th (8 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16De Graafschap10325132311
19Dordrecht1022613278

A question about De Graafschap vs Dordrecht?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs Dordrecht?
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Dordrecht.
Where and when is De Graafschap vs Dordrecht played?
De Graafschap vs Dordrecht is played on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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