Jong AZ vs NAC Breda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Jong AZ. The most likely score is 1-1. If NAC Breda wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong AZ vs NAC Breda?
On Elo ratings, Jong AZ has 1,698 points and NAC Breda 1,772.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong AZ vs NAC Breda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11T. de Wit
- 7K. Toppenberg
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong AZ have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; NAC Breda have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong AZ win, 0 draws, 5 NAC Breda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | Jong AZ 2-3 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2023 | NAC Breda 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 27, 2023 | NAC Breda 5-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Jong AZ 4-0 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Jong AZ 0-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 15, 2021 | NAC Breda 1-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong AZ score 2.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong AZ sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (13 points from 10 matches) and NAC Breda sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Jong AZ vs NAC Breda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong AZ vs NAC Breda?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Jong AZ.
- Where and when is Jong AZ vs NAC Breda played?
- Jong AZ vs NAC Breda is played on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.