Dordrecht vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Den Bosch. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dordrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Den Bosch?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Dordrecht (1,595) and Den Bosch (1,634).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dordrecht vs Den Bosch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 28T. Coremans
Den Bosch
4-3-3- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 11J. De Vries
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 16Wang Bohao
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 25Silvan Broker
- 3S. Maas
- 1P. van de Merbel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Den Bosch have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dordrecht wins, 2 draws, 0 Den Bosch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch 1-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Dordrecht 3-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Den Bosch 3-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Dordrecht 4-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Den Bosch 2-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Den Bosch 0-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Den Bosch vs Dordrecht on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 10 matches) and Den Bosch sit 14th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
A question about Dordrecht vs Den Bosch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Den Bosch.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs Den Bosch played?
- Dordrecht vs Den Bosch is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.