Vitesse vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieMatchday 19Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Helmond Sport?
Vitesse starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,631).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 28A. Büttner
- 27E. Probst
- 17V. Zumberi
- 24N. Markelo
- 14O. Achouitar
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 1C. van den Berg
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 34T. Essakkati
- 9L. Bajrami
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 10D. Huiberts
- 94Mauro Lenaerts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 14Lovro Golič
- 20S. Dekkers
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Helmond Sport have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vitesse wins, 1 draw, 1 Helmond Sport win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Helmond Sport 2-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vitesse 3-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Helmond Sport 3-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Vitesse 2-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs Vitesse on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (18 points from 13 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 17th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 12 |
A question about Vitesse vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Helmond Sport played?
- Vitesse vs Helmond Sport is played on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.