Dečić vs Mladost DG: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi
The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mladost DG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dečić vs Mladost DG?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Dečić (1,545) and Mladost DG (1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dečić have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mladost DG have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dečić win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mladost DG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Mladost DG 2-1 Dečić | First League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Dečić 3-4 Mladost DG | First League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Mladost DG 1-2 Dečić | First League |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Dečić 3-2 Mladost DG | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Dečić 2-0 Mladost DG | First League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Mladost DG 0-3 Dečić | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dečić score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mladost DG score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dečić | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mladost DG | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dečić sit 1st in First League (10 points from 4 matches) and Mladost DG sit 8th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dečić | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Mladost DG | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dečić vs Mladost DG?
- The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mladost DG.
- Where and when is Dečić vs Mladost DG played?
- Dečić vs Mladost DG is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.