Mladost DG vs Dečić: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)DG Arena, Podgorica
The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Mladost DG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Dečić?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Mladost DG (1,450) and Dečić (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladost DG have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dečić have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mladost DG win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Dečić win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Mladost DG 2-1 Dečić | First League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Dečić 3-4 Mladost DG | First League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Mladost DG 1-2 Dečić | First League |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Dečić 3-2 Mladost DG | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Dečić 2-0 Mladost DG | First League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Mladost DG 0-3 Dečić | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mladost DG score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dečić score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Dečić | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladost DG sit 7th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Dečić sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dečić | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladost DG vs Dečić?
- The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Mladost DG.
- Where and when is Mladost DG vs Dečić played?
- Mladost DG vs Dečić is played on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at DG Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.