Defensores Glew vs Nautico Hacoaj: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Defensores Glew the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Nautico Hacoaj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensores Glew vs Nautico Hacoaj?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Defensores Glew (1,788) and Nautico Hacoaj (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensores Glew have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Nautico Hacoaj have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Provincial(away) | 4-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso(home) | 4-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Metalurgico(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SAT Moreno(home) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(away) | 5-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso(away) | 3-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Metalurgico(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 10, 2026 | SAT Moreno(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(home) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Pilar(home) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Defensores Glew win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nautico Hacoaj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj 0-0 Defensores Glew | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Nautico Hacoaj 1-1 Defensores Glew | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Defensores Glew 0-2 Nautico Hacoaj | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Nautico Hacoaj vs Defensores Glew on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensores Glew score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Hacoaj score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores Glew | 2.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Nautico Hacoaj | 1.4 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensores Glew sit 4th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (26 points from 12 matches) and Nautico Hacoaj sit 7th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nautico Hacoaj | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Defensores Glew | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Defensores Glew | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Nautico Hacoaj | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensores Glew vs Nautico Hacoaj?
- The Footlab model makes Defensores Glew the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Nautico Hacoaj.
- Where and when is Defensores Glew vs Nautico Hacoaj played?
- Defensores Glew vs Nautico Hacoaj is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Everton La Plata0-1Las Mandarinas
- Aug 12, 2026Buenos Aires City0-2Belgrano Zarate
- Aug 12, 2026Ezeiza2-6Alumni Los Hornos
- Aug 12, 2026Barrancas UMET0-0Uribelarrea
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo MetalurgicovsAtletico Pilar
- Aug 29, 2026Estrella de BerissovsSAT Moreno
- Aug 29, 2026ProvincialvsJuventud de Bernal