Where and when is Estrella de Berisso vs SAT Moreno played?

Estrella de Berisso vs SAT Moreno is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estrella de Berisso vs SAT Moreno: prediction and stats

Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)

Estrella de Berisso

SAT Moreno

The Footlab model makes SAT Moreno the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Estrella de Berisso. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella de Berisso vs SAT Moreno?

SAT Moreno starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,605).

Estrella de Berisso win14 %

Draw27 %

SAT Moreno win59 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella de Berisso have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; SAT Moreno have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella de Berisso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Nautico Hacoaj(home)	2-3	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 17, 2026	Defensores Glew(away)	0-4	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 10, 2026	Provincial(home)	5-0	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Pilar(away)	2-1	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Jul 26, 2026	Deportivo Metalurgico(away)	0-1	Torneo Promocional Amateur

SAT Moreno
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Atletico Pilar(home)	2-0	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 19, 2026	Juventud de Bernal(away)	3-0	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 10, 2026	Nautico Hacoaj(home)	1-0	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 2, 2026	Defensores Glew(away)	0-2	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Jul 25, 2026	Provincial(home)	3-0	Torneo Promocional Amateur

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Estrella de Berisso win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SAT Moreno win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 11, 2026	SAT Moreno 4-0 Estrella de Berisso	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Sep 8, 2025	SAT Moreno 2-0 Estrella de Berisso	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 17, 2025	Estrella de Berisso 0-0 SAT Moreno	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Sep 8, 2024	SAT Moreno 1-0 Estrella de Berisso	Torneo Promocional Amateur
Apr 12, 2024	Estrella de Berisso 2-0 SAT Moreno	Torneo Promocional Amateur

Last archived meeting: SAT Moreno vs Estrella de Berisso on Jul 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella de Berisso score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SAT Moreno score 1.6 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estrella de Berisso	1.0	1.7	3	5/15	8/15
SAT Moreno	1.6	0.3	11	1/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estrella de Berisso sit 12th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (14 points from 12 matches) and SAT Moreno sit 1st (30 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SAT Moreno	12	10	0	2	20	4	30
2	SAT Moreno	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
5	Estrella de Berisso	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
12	Estrella de Berisso	12	4	2	6	15	19	14

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella de Berisso vs SAT Moreno?: The Footlab model makes SAT Moreno the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Estrella de Berisso.
Where and when is Estrella de Berisso vs SAT Moreno played?: Estrella de Berisso vs SAT Moreno is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.