Deportivo Metalurgico vs Atletico Pilar: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Metalurgico the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Atletico Pilar. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Metalurgico vs Atletico Pilar?
Deportivo Metalurgico starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Metalurgico have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico Pilar have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(home) | 7-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj(away) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores Glew(home) | 0-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Provincial(away) | 5-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | SAT Moreno(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Provincial(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(away) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso(home) | 1-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Deportivo Metalurgico win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Atletico Pilar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Atletico Pilar 1-1 Deportivo Metalurgico | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Deportivo Metalurgico 4-0 Atletico Pilar | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Atletico Pilar 0-7 Deportivo Metalurgico | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Pilar vs Deportivo Metalurgico on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Metalurgico score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Pilar score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Metalurgico | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Pilar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Metalurgico sit 3rd in Torneo Promocional Amateur (28 points from 12 matches) and Atletico Pilar sit 15th (8 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Atletico Pilar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico Pilar | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Metalurgico vs Atletico Pilar?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Metalurgico the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Atletico Pilar.
- Where and when is Deportivo Metalurgico vs Atletico Pilar played?
- Deportivo Metalurgico vs Atletico Pilar is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.