Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 40Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, Zárate, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Defensores Unidos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio?
Deportivo Armenio starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,705 vs 1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensores Unidos have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Deportivo Armenio have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(home) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liniers(home) | 2-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Pilar(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Liniers(away) | 1-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Defensores Unidos win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Armenio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio 3-0 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Deportivo Armenio 0-1 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Defensores Unidos 0-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Deportivo Armenio 3-1 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Deportivo Armenio 0-1 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 8, 2021 | Defensores Unidos 2-0 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Armenio vs Defensores Unidos on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensores Unidos score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Armenio score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores Unidos | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportivo Armenio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensores Unidos sit 17th in Primera B Metropolitana (23 points from 20 matches) and Deportivo Armenio sit 11th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Deportivo Armenio | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 36 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Defensores Unidos.
- Where and when is Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio played?
- Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 17, 2026Dock SudvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino de Merlo
- Oct 17, 2026ComunicacionesvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 17, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsFlandria
- Oct 17, 2026Villa San CarlosvsVilla Dalmine
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo MerlovsTalleres Remedios
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