Liniers vs UAI Urquiza: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 40Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Liniers, 38% for a draw, 28% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liniers vs UAI Urquiza?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Liniers (1,602) and UAI Urquiza (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liniers have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; UAI Urquiza have 1, 9 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dock Sud(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Liniers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 UAI Urquiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | UAI Urquiza 2-1 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 9, 2025 | UAI Urquiza 0-1 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Liniers 0-1 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Liniers 3-0 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 8, 2024 | UAI Urquiza 1-1 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 11, 2013 | Liniers 0-1 UAI Urquiza | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: UAI Urquiza vs Liniers on Jun 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liniers score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liniers | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| UAI Urquiza | 0.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liniers sit 14th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 21 matches) and UAI Urquiza sit 19th (20 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Liniers | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 24 |
| 17 | Liniers | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 31 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liniers vs UAI Urquiza?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Liniers, 38% for a draw, 28% for UAI Urquiza.
- Where and when is Liniers vs UAI Urquiza played?
- Liniers vs UAI Urquiza is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Oct 17, 2026Real PilarvsItuzaingó
- Oct 17, 2026Dock SudvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino de Merlo
- Oct 17, 2026ComunicacionesvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 17, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsFlandria
- Oct 17, 2026Villa San CarlosvsVilla Dalmine
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo MerlovsTalleres Remedios