Where and when is Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi played?

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio República de Italia, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 40Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Italia, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Sportivo Italiano

Arsenal Sarandi

The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Sportivo Italiano. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Sportivo Italiano (1,715) and Arsenal Sarandi (1,747).

Sportivo Italiano win30 %

Draw34 %

Arsenal Sarandi win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Italiano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Arsenal Sarandi have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportivo Italiano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Defensores Unidos(home)	0-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026	Comunicaciones(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Dock Sud(home)	4-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Deportivo Merlo(away)	4-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Camioneros(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

Arsenal Sarandi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Ituzaingó(home)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	Argentino de Merlo(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Talleres Remedios(home)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sportivo Italiano win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Arsenal Sarandi win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Arsenal Sarandi 1-3 Sportivo Italiano	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportivo Italiano score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Sarandi score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sportivo Italiano	1.2	0.8	6	5/15	5/15
Arsenal Sarandi	1.1	0.9	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportivo Italiano sit 6th in Primera B Metropolitana (33 points from 20 matches) and Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th (37 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Arsenal Sarandi	20	10	7	3	27	14	37
4	Arsenal Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
6	Sportivo Italiano	20	9	6	5	21	17	33
6	Sportivo Italiano	32	14	10	8	36	25	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?: The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Sportivo Italiano.
Where and when is Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi played?: Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio República de Italia, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.