Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 40Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Genancio Sálice, Berisso, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for Villa San Carlos. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
Villa Dalmine starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa San Carlos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Villa Dalmine have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa San Carlos win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Villa Dalmine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Villa Dalmine 0-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Villa San Carlos 2-2 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Villa Dalmine 3-2 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Villa San Carlos 0-1 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Villa Dalmine 0-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 4, 2013 | Villa Dalmine 0-2 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Villa Dalmine vs Villa San Carlos on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa San Carlos score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Villa Dalmine | 0.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa San Carlos sit 21st in Primera B Metropolitana (16 points from 20 matches) and Villa Dalmine sit 3rd (37 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 59 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 37 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 38 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for Villa San Carlos.
- Where and when is Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine played?
- Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Genancio Sálice, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Oct 17, 2026Real PilarvsItuzaingó
- Oct 17, 2026Dock SudvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino de Merlo
- Oct 17, 2026ComunicacionesvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 17, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsFlandria
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo MerlovsTalleres Remedios
- Oct 17, 2026San Martín BurzacovsExcursionistas