Caersws vs Guilsfield: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Guilsfield. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caersws wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Guilsfield?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Caersws (1,654) and Guilsfield (1,674).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caersws vs Guilsfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Guilsfield
Not enough data to predict the Guilsfield lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Guilsfield have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caersws wins, 2 draws, 2 Guilsfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Guilsfield 4-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Caersws 0-0 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Caersws 5-3 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Guilsfield 1-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Guilsfield 2-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Caersws 2-3 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Guilsfield vs Caersws on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guilsfield score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Guilsfield | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 6th in FAW Championship (17 points from 9 matches) and Guilsfield sit 8th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Caersws vs Guilsfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Guilsfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Guilsfield.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Guilsfield played?
- Caersws vs Guilsfield is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.