Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cae Baker, Penrhyncoch, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,510).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penrhyncoch
Not enough data to predict the Penrhyncoch lineup.
Mold Alexandra
Not enough data to predict the Mold Alexandra lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penrhyncoch have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penrhyncoch wins, 3 draws, 1 Mold Alexandra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Penrhyncoch 3-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 0-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 1-2 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Penrhyncoch 1-3 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Penrhyncoch 2-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penrhyncoch score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penrhyncoch sit 16th in FAW Championship (1 point from 11 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 4th (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 21 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Cae Baker, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.