Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Globe Way Stadium, Buckley / Bwcle, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Buckley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Buckley Town (1,474) and Holyhead Hotspur (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckley Town have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Holyhead Hotspur have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buckley Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Holyhead Hotspur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 5-1 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Buckley Town 5-5 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Holyhead Hotspur 0-4 Buckley Town | League Cup |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Buckley Town 2-2 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Holyhead Hotspur 2-0 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Buckley Town 2-2 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holyhead Hotspur vs Buckley Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buckley Town score 0.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley Town | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckley Town sit 14th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 13th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Holyhead Hotspur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Buckley Town.
- Where and when is Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Globe Way Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.