Dender vs Liège: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Liège. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dender wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs Liège?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Dender (1,909) and Liège (1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dender vs Liège
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dender
5-3-2- 15K. Koton
- 7E. Mballa Amougou
- 18N. Rôdes
- 24M. Viltard
- 53A. Nhaili
- 21K. Cools
- 6B. Kerf
- 45Amine Daali
- 70M. Sambu
- 22I. Breugelmans
- 16J. Devriendt
Liège
4-1-4-1- 15R. Ogam
- 28R. Wilmots
- 14V. Guillaume
- 7B. Bruggeman
- 8K. Ruiz-Atil
- 18S. Paulet
- 5P. Ngawa
- 16E. N'jo
- 25J. D'Ostilio
- 13D. Mouchamps
- 12O. Ravet
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Liège have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 1-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Wellen(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 4-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 0-0 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dender wins, 1 draw, 2 Liège wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liège 1-2 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Dender 0-0 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Liège 0-1 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| May 22, 2022 | Liège 1-0 Dender | First Amateur Division |
| May 11, 2022 | Dender 2-0 Liège | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Liège 3-0 Dender | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Liège score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Liège | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 2nd in Challenger Pro League (18 points from 7 matches) and Liège sit 13th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dender | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 13 | Liège | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Dender vs Liège?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs Liège?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Liège.
- Where and when is Dender vs Liège played?
- Dender vs Liège is played on April 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.