Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Bernardo
The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Magallanes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Magallanes (1,639) and D. Puerto Montt (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magallanes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; D. Puerto Montt have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Magallanes win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 D. Puerto Montt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt 2-0 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Jul 3, 2022 | D. Puerto Montt 1-0 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Magallanes 2-0 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Sep 16, 2021 | Magallanes 3-0 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| May 10, 2021 | D. Puerto Montt 1-1 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Jan 17, 2021 | D. Puerto Montt 1-0 Magallanes | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magallanes score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; D. Puerto Montt score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magallanes | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| D. Puerto Montt | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magallanes sit 3rd in Primera B (35 points from 21 matches) and D. Puerto Montt sit 7th (31 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?
- The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Magallanes.
- Where and when is Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt played?
- Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.