Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima played?

Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro, Antioquia

Águilas Doradas

Deportes Tolima

The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Deportes Tolima. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Águilas Doradas (1,732) and Deportes Tolima (1,814).

Águilas Doradas win42 %

Draw29 %

Deportes Tolima win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas Doradas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Millonarios(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-1	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Santa Fe(home)	2-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Real Soacha(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Deportes Tolima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Independiente del Valle(away)	1-3	CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 22, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Independiente del Valle(home)	0-1	CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 8, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(home)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Independiente Medellin(home)	2-3	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Águilas Doradas win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Deportes Tolima win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima 4-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Nov 14, 2025	Águilas Doradas 1-2 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
May 25, 2025	Deportes Tolima 1-2 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Nov 2, 2024	Águilas Doradas 0-1 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
Apr 12, 2024	Deportes Tolima 2-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Dec 2, 2023	Deportes Tolima 0-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas on Apr 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas	1.4	1.4	2	11/15	9/15
Deportes Tolima	1.1	1.3	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas Doradas sit 12th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Deportes Tolima	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
3	Deportes Tolima	23	10	7	6	31	21	37
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	31
6	Águilas Doradas	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?: The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Deportes Tolima.
Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima played?: Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.