Deportivo Cali vs Junior: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Deportivo Cali (1,743) and Junior (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Cali win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Junior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Junior 1-2 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 0-2 Junior | Primera A |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Junior 0-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Junior 3-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 0-0 Junior | Primera A |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Deportivo Cali 0-2 Junior | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Junior vs Deportivo Cali on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Junior.
- Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Junior played?
- Deportivo Cali vs Junior is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026MillonariosvsJaguares
- Oct 18, 2026Deportivo PastovsAlianza Valledupar
- Oct 18, 2026Independiente MedellinvsOnce Caldas
- Oct 18, 2026BucaramangavsAmerica de Cali
- Oct 18, 2026Internacional de BogotavsFortaleza FC
- Oct 18, 2026Águilas DoradasvsDeportes Tolima
- Oct 18, 2026Deportivo PereiravsChico
- Oct 18, 2026LlanerosvsSanta Fe