Deportivo Alavés II vs Basconia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Basconia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Basconia?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Deportivo Alavés II (1,988) and Basconia (1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Alavés II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Basconia have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Deportivo Alavés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Basconia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II 0-0 Basconia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Basconia 0-2 Deportivo Alavés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Deportivo Alavés II 4-2 Basconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Basconia 0-0 Deportivo Alavés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Alavés II vs Basconia on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Alavés II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Alavés II vs Basconia?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Basconia.
- Where and when is Deportivo Alavés II vs Basconia played?
- Deportivo Alavés II vs Basconia is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.