Ourense CF vs Compostela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Compostela?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,907) and Compostela (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Compostela have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ourense CF win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Compostela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ourense CF 2-0 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Compostela 0-1 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Compostela 2-1 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Ourense CF 1-1 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Compostela 0-0 Ourense CF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Ourense CF 2-2 Compostela | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Compostela on Feb 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Compostela | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Compostela?
- The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Compostela.
- Where and when is Ourense CF vs Compostela played?
- Ourense CF vs Compostela is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.