Real Madrid III vs Sestao River: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestao River wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Sestao River?
Sestao River starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid III vs Sestao River
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.
Sestao River
4-4-2- 8Ander Laka
- 17A. Bengoetxea
- 16Josemi Castañeda
- 6E. Delgado
- 20Adri Carrión
- 21A. Arzak
- 22Markel Etxeberría
- 5Andoni Ugarte
- 3Gorri
- 4A. Efremov
- 1Ander Iru
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid III have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sestao River have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 4-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid III score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid III | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Sestao River | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 22 |
A question about Real Madrid III vs Sestao River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid III vs Sestao River?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Sestao River played?
- Real Madrid III vs Sestao River is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.