Deportivo La Coruna vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña
The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Deportivo La Coruna (2,056) and Athletic Club (2,053).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Coruna have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo La Coruna win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Athletic Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2018 | Athletic Club 2-3 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Athletic Club 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 2, 2016 | Athletic Club 4-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Deportivo La Coruna on Apr 14, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Coruna score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Athletic Club | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo La Coruna sit 10th in La Liga (1 points from 1 matches) and Athletic Club sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Athletic Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruna vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Deportivo La Coruna vs Athletic Club played?
- Deportivo La Coruna vs Athletic Club is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Riazor, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.