Espanyol vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Espanyol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Espanyol vs Celta Vigo?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Espanyol (1,962) and Celta Vigo (2,030).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Espanyol vs Celta Vigo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 8Edu Expósito
- 24T. Dolan
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 4Urko González
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 5C. Riedel
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 13M. Dmitrović
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 22Javi Galán
- 8Miguel Román
- 18Yoel Lago
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 13I. Radu
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espanyol have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Celta Vigo have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Espanyol wins, 1 draw, 1 Celta Vigo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Espanyol 2-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Celta Vigo 0-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Celta Vigo 0-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Espanyol vs Celta Vigo on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Espanyol sit 12th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 9th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Espanyol vs Celta Vigo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Espanyol vs Celta Vigo played?
- Espanyol vs Celta Vigo is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stage Front Stadium, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.