Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Laferrere, Gregorio de Laferrere, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Laferrere. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Deportivo Laferrere (1,677) and Sportivo Italiano (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Laferrere have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sportivo Italiano have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 3-5 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 3-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(away) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Laferrere win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sportivo Italiano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano 1-1 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sportivo Italiano 1-0 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Deportivo Laferrere 2-1 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Deportivo Laferrere 1-0 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Sportivo Italiano 1-0 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Laferrere score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportivo Italiano score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Laferrere | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sportivo Italiano | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Laferrere sit 13th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 20 matches) and Sportivo Italiano sit 6th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 52 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 45 |
| 13 | Deportivo Laferrere | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano?
- The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Laferrere.
- Where and when is Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano played?
- Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Laferrere, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Arsenal SarandivsLiniers
- Sep 26, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsDeportivo Camioneros
- Sep 26, 2026FlandriavsDock Sud
- Sep 26, 2026Villa DalminevsUAI Urquiza
- Sep 26, 2026Talleres RemediosvsSan Martín Burzaco
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsDeportivo Merlo
- Sep 26, 2026Argentino de MerlovsVilla San Carlos
- Sep 26, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsComunicaciones