Match

Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Campana, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Villa DalmineUAI Urquiza

The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 56%, against 32% for a draw and 12% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?

Villa Dalmine starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,588).

Villa Dalmine win56 %
Draw32 %
UAI Urquiza win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Dalmine have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; UAI Urquiza have 1, 9 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Dalmine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Talleres Remedios(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(away)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(home)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Deportivo Armenio(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Flandria(home)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
UAI Urquiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(home)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Deportivo Armenio(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Flandria(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Argentino Quilmes(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Dalmine win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 UAI Urquiza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026UAI Urquiza 0-0 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 9, 2025UAI Urquiza 1-0 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana
Feb 18, 2025Villa Dalmine 0-1 UAI UrquizaPrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 22, 2024Villa Dalmine 1-0 UAI UrquizaPrimera B Metropolitana
Mar 3, 2024UAI Urquiza 0-0 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 18, 2018Villa Dalmine 0-0 UAI UrquizaCopa Argentina

Last archived meeting: UAI Urquiza vs Villa Dalmine on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Dalmine0.90.584/154/15
UAI Urquiza0.41.065/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Dalmine sit 3rd in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and UAI Urquiza sit 19th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Villa Dalmine3116105351658
3Villa Dalmine201073241037
19UAI Urquiza203116121620
21UAI Urquiza313199152628

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 56%, against 32% for a draw and 12% for UAI Urquiza.
Where and when is Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza played?
Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Villa Dalmine and UAI Urquiza

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