Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armenia, Ingeniero Maschwitz, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Deportivo Merlo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Deportivo Armenio (1,700) and Deportivo Merlo (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Armenio have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Merlo have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ituzaingó(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Deportivo Armenio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Merlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo 3-2 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Deportivo Merlo 0-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Deportivo Armenio 3-0 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Deportivo Merlo 2-2 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Deportivo Armenio 2-0 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Deportivo Merlo 0-3 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Armenio score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Merlo score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Merlo | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Armenio sit 11th in Primera B Metropolitana (25 points from 20 matches) and Deportivo Merlo sit 8th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 44 |
| 8 | Deportivo Merlo | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 31 |
| 11 | Deportivo Armenio | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Deportivo Merlo.
- Where and when is Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo played?
- Deportivo Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armenia, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Arsenal SarandivsLiniers
- Sep 26, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsDeportivo Camioneros
- Sep 26, 2026FlandriavsDock Sud
- Sep 26, 2026Villa DalminevsUAI Urquiza
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsSportivo Italiano
- Sep 26, 2026Talleres RemediosvsSan Martín Burzaco
- Sep 26, 2026Argentino de MerlovsVilla San Carlos
- Sep 26, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsComunicaciones