Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 40Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Talleres Remedios the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Deportivo Merlo. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios?
Talleres Remedios starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Merlo have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Talleres Remedios have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ituzaingó(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Excursionistas(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ituzaingó(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Merlo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Talleres Remedios win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Talleres Remedios 2-0 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Talleres Remedios | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 28, 2023 | Talleres Remedios 0-1 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Talleres Remedios 1-1 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 21, 2022 | Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Talleres Remedios | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Deportivo Merlo 0-1 Talleres Remedios | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Talleres Remedios vs Deportivo Merlo on Jun 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Merlo score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Talleres Remedios score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Talleres Remedios | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Merlo sit 8th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Talleres Remedios sit 2nd (38 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 17 | 57 |
| 8 | Deportivo Merlo | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 31 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios?
- The Footlab model makes Talleres Remedios the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Deportivo Merlo.
- Where and when is Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios played?
- Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Oct 17, 2026Real PilarvsItuzaingó
- Oct 17, 2026Dock SudvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino de Merlo
- Oct 17, 2026ComunicacionesvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 17, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsFlandria
- Oct 17, 2026Villa San CarlosvsVilla Dalmine
- Oct 17, 2026San Martín BurzacovsExcursionistas