Match

Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21Nottingham Forest U21

The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,604).

25%21%54%
Derby County U21 winDrawNottingham Forest U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Derby County U21

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Wilson
  2. 9J. Oguntolu
  3. 9Z. Marsh
  1. 7C. Smith
  2. 6M. Tola
  3. 11F. Jones
  1. 3K. Robinson
  2. 2I. Gordon
  3. 5A. Osayande
  4. 5Raymond Offor
  1. 1N. Bilokapić

Nottingham Forest U21

3-4-3
  1. 11F. Smith
  2. 9Joshua Alan Powell
  3. 15K. Thompson
  1. 5Jamie Newton
  2. 7K. Clarke
  3. 8A. Whitehall
  4. 6C. Nwosu
  1. 3D. Modupe
  2. 2B. Sanneh
  3. 4Spencer Sutton
  1. 1Keehan Willows

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:41 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Nottingham Forest U21 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Scunthorpe(away)2-2National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Brentford U21(away)2-4Premier League Cup
Sep 18, 2026Burnley U21(away)1-4Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 11, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 8, 2026Gateshead(away)3-1National League Cup
Nottingham Forest U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Manchester United U21(home)3-2Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 13, 2026Notts County(away)1-5EFL Trophy
Oct 9, 2026Peterborough United U21(away)5-1Premier League Cup
Sep 30, 2026Sporting CP B(home)2-4Premier League International Cup
Sep 22, 2026Burton Albion(away)1-1EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Derby County U21 wins, 2 draws, 4 Nottingham Forest U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 30, 2026Derby County U21 0-0 Nottingham Forest U21Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 10, 2025Nottingham Forest U21 1-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 29, 2024Derby County U21 0-1 Nottingham Forest U21Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 24, 2023Derby County U21 0-2 Nottingham Forest U21Premier League Cup
Jan 27, 2023Nottingham Forest U21 7-2 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 10, 2022Derby County U21 0-1 Nottingham Forest U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 on Jan 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County U211.62.6211/1512/15
Nottingham Forest U211.91.8312/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Derby County U21 sit 20th in Premier League 2 Division One (4 points from 4 matches) and Nottingham Forest U21 sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Nottingham Forest U21540110912
20Derby County U2141129124

A question about Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 played?
Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 is played on March 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Derby County U21 and Nottingham Forest U21

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