Derby vs Cardiff: result 0-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 2, 2011 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Cardiff?
Cardiff won 0-3 on November 2, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 20′F. KissCardiff
- 62′Kevin KilbaneCardiff (o.g.)
- 73′Peter WhittinghamCardiff
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cardiff have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2011 | Reading(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2011 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Burnley(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 5-3 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2011 | Peterborough(away) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Ipswich(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Cardiff sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy