Derby vs Chesterfield: result 2-0 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 24, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Chesterfield?
Derby won 2-0 on January 24, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 20′D. BentDerby
- 82′W. HughesDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Chesterfield have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Ipswich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 3, 2015 | Southport(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Dec 30, 2014 | Leeds(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2014 | Birmingham(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Jan 13, 2015 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Jan 6, 2015 | Scunthorpe(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2015 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Chesterfield | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy