Derby vs Leicester: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 16, 2013 at 05:20 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Leicester?
Derby won 2-1 on March 16, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 17′R. KeoghDerby
- 44′C. MartinDerby
- 62′J. SchluppLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Leicester have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2013 | Birmingham(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Mar 5, 2013 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2013 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2013 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 5, 2013 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 26, 2013 | Blackburn(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Leicester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2012 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2012 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester 4-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Leicester | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy