Desportivo Huíla vs Académica do Lobito: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Provincial da Huíla (Ferroviário), Lubango
The Footlab model makes Desportivo Huíla the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for Académica do Lobito. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Desportivo Huíla vs Académica do Lobito?
Desportivo Huíla starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,596).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desportivo Huíla have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Académica do Lobito have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1º de Agosto(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | 1º de Maio(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Guelson FC(home) | 4-0 | Girabola |
| May 6, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Desportivo Huíla win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Académica do Lobito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla 2-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Académica do Lobito 1-1 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Académica do Lobito 0-1 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Desportivo Huíla 2-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Desportivo Huíla 3-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Académica do Lobito 2-0 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Desportivo Huíla vs Académica do Lobito on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Desportivo Huíla score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desportivo Huíla | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Académica do Lobito | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Desportivo Huíla sit 12th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Académica do Lobito sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Desportivo Huíla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Académica do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Desportivo Huíla vs Académica do Lobito?
- The Footlab model makes Desportivo Huíla the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for Académica do Lobito.
- Where and when is Desportivo Huíla vs Académica do Lobito played?
- Desportivo Huíla vs Académica do Lobito is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Provincial da Huíla (Ferroviário), in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.