Sagrada Esperança vs Petro de Luanda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Quintalão, Dundo
The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Sagrada Esperança. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagrada Esperança vs Petro de Luanda?
Petro de Luanda is a heavy favourite: 1,971 Elo points against 1,659 — a 313-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagrada Esperança have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Petro de Luanda have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sagrada Esperança win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Petro de Luanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Petro de Luanda 4-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 0-3 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| May 18, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 0-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Petro de Luanda 2-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Petro de Luanda 0-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Sagrada Esperança 0-0 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Petro de Luanda score 1.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Petro de Luanda | 1.7 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagrada Esperança sit 15th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Petro de Luanda sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Petro de Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagrada Esperança vs Petro de Luanda?
- The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Sagrada Esperança.
- Where and when is Sagrada Esperança vs Petro de Luanda played?
- Sagrada Esperança vs Petro de Luanda is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Quintalão, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.