1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for CD Lunda-Sul. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,588) and CD Lunda-Sul (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CD Lunda-Sul have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 1º de Maio win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 CD Lunda-Sul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul 0-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1º de Maio 1-0 CD Lunda-Sul | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: CD Lunda-Sul vs 1º de Maio on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CD Lunda-Sul score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| CD Lunda-Sul | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and CD Lunda-Sul sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | CD Lunda-Sul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for CD Lunda-Sul.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul played?
- 1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 17, 2026KabuscorpvsInterclube
- Sep 18, 20261º de AgostovsFC Luanda
- Sep 19, 2026Recreativo da CaálavsBravos do Maquis FC
- Sep 19, 2026Desportivo HuílavsAcadémica do Lobito
- Sep 19, 2026WilietevsRecreativo do Libolo
- Sep 20, 2026São SalvadorvsSporting de Cabinda
- Sep 20, 2026Sagrada EsperançavsPetro de Luanda