Match

1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul: prediction and stats

GirabolaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela

1º de MaioCD Lunda-Sul

The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for CD Lunda-Sul. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,588) and CD Lunda-Sul (1,652).

1º de Maio win42 %
Draw32 %
CD Lunda-Sul win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CD Lunda-Sul have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1º de Maio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kabuscorp(home)1-1Girabola
May 24, 2026Sagrada Esperança(away)1-1Girabola
May 20, 2026Desportivo Huíla(home)0-0Girabola
May 16, 2026Petro de Luanda(away)0-0Girabola
May 10, 2026Académica do Lobito(away)1-0Girabola
CD Lunda-Sul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Petro de Luanda(home)0-0Girabola
May 24, 2026Wiliete(away)1-1Girabola
May 20, 2026Bravos do Maquis FC(home)1-0Girabola
May 17, 2026Sagrada Esperança(away)1-1Girabola
May 14, 2026Académica do Lobito(away)1-1Girabola

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 1º de Maio win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 CD Lunda-Sul win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026CD Lunda-Sul 0-1 1º de MaioGirabola
Dec 7, 20251º de Maio 1-0 CD Lunda-SulGirabola

Last archived meeting: CD Lunda-Sul vs 1º de Maio on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CD Lunda-Sul score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1º de Maio1.20.958/154/15
CD Lunda-Sul0.70.955/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and CD Lunda-Sul sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
71º de Maio1010111
10CD Lunda-Sul1010001

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul?
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for CD Lunda-Sul.
Where and when is 1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul played?
1º de Maio vs CD Lunda-Sul is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1º de Maio and CD Lunda-Sul

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